Ball State at Bowling Green odds, picks and predictions

Skip Snow
Sportsbook Wire

The Ball State Cardinals (14-7, 5-3 MAC) visit the Bowling Green Falcons (10-11, 4-4) for a Mid-American Conference tussle on Tuesday. Tip time at Stroh Center will be at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Ball State vs. Bowling Greenodds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Ball State easily covered as a 4.5-point favorite last time out when it beat Northern Illinois 87-69 Saturday. The Cardinals won the rebound and turnover battles handily in that one. By rate statistics, BSU is 2nd-best in the MAC in offensive rebounding and tops in getting to the free-throw line.

The Falcons are up-tempo and put a lot of points on the board but struggle to prevent the same. Bowling Green is coming off a 91-77 loss at Toledo Saturday. The Falcons will be glad to be back at home where they are 4-1 over their last 5 games and with an average margin of victory of 18.8 points in those 4 wins.

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Ball State at Bowling Green odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Ball State -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Bowling Green +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Ball State -1.5 (-115) | Bowling Green +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 151.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Ball State at Bowling Green picks and predictions

Prediction

Ball State 82, Bowling Green 79

Moneyline

Ball State has beaten Bowling Green twice in a row and in 3 of their last 4 meetings. The Cardinals have had a couple of clunkers recently, but those losses - at Kent State Jan. 20 and vs. Buffalo Jan. 24 - were against much better teams than Bowling Green.

Ball State is a decent play against the number but a PASS is suggested here unless the price drops to -120 or better.

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Against the spread

Ball State is 3-1 ATS over its last 4 games against the Falcons and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 series meetings.

Efficiency at both ends and edges in rebounding and looks at the foul line spell a significant lean toward BSU. BACK THE CARDINALS -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Over is 5-1 in the Cardinals' last 6 contests against under-.500 teams and 4-0 in their last 4 road tilts. It's also 6-1 in the Falcons' last 7 games overall.

The 2nd-chance and free-throw spiral has already been noted. BGSU owns a robust 3-point accuracy mark of 41.6% since Dec. 19. This game could well reach 150 by the 5-minute mark.

BACK THE OVER 151.5 (-115).

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