UFC 270: Brandon Moreno vs. Deiveson Figueiredo odds, picks and prediction
In a flyweight title fight on the main card, Brandon Moreno and Deiveson Figueiredo meet Saturday at UFC 270 at Honda Center in Anaheim, Calif. Below, we analyze the UFC 270: Moreno vs. Figueiredo odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The early prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET, the prelims can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET, with the main card starting at 10 p.m. ET on pay-per-view.
This will be Moreno-Figueiredo III. They fought to a majority draw at UFC 256 in December 2020, and Moreno submitted Figueiredo at UFC 263 in June 2021. That was the first submission loss of Figueiredo's career.
Moreno has ended up going the distance in six of his past eight fights at the UFC level, but he has the submission win over Figueiredo last time out. He claimed a KO/TKO win over Brandon Royval at UFC 255, just over three weeks before his first fight with Figueiredo. So, Moreno can get his arm raised in a number of ways.
Figueiredo, a.k.a. "Deus da Guerra," suffered just the second loss of his pro career in that submission loss to Moreno. Figueiredo's only other loss was a unanimous-decision setback to Jussier Formiga back in March 2019.
When Figueiredo wins, he is usually doing work on the canvas, posting submission wins in three of his past six fights. That's why it was surprising when Moreno turned the tables on him last time out.
UFC 270 Moreno vs. Figueiredo: Odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:58 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line) : Moreno -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Figueiredo +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +115 | No -160)
UFC 270 Moreno vs. Figueiredo: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Moreno (19-5-2) | Figueiredo (20-2-1)
FIGUEIREDO (+140) is going to win this one, and we might end up seeing a fourth installment of this rivalry as a result.
The 34-year-old flyweight might be a bit reluctant to get to the canvas after Moreno surprisingly submitted him last time out. However, the mat is where Figueiredo does his best work. He submitted Alex Perez and Joseph Benavidez in consecutive fights in 2020 for the belt. He also has a submission win over Tim Elliott.
Figueiredo's specialty is the arm triangle or guillotine. I like him to get it done on the ground, perhaps setting up a fourth fight between these rivals down the road.
FIGUEIREDO BY SUBMISSION (+900) is worth a roll of the dice. His specialty is getting it done on the canvas. You can multiply your initial wager times nine if he gets it done in the ground and pound.
Backing NO -160: FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is also a worthwhile play, while also playing the challenger in round betting.
Take FIGUEIREDO IN ROUND 2 (+1400), FIGUEIREDO IN ROUND 3 (+2000) and FIGUEIREDO IN ROUND 4 (+2500) in a three-round block. If Figueiredo pulls off the upset inside the distance in Rounds 2-4, you will lose two of the bets, however, you'll also be very, very far ahead.
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