Summer Olympics Women's Soccer: New Zealand vs. USA odds, picks and prediction

Joe Williams
Sportsbook Wire

In Summer Olympics Women's Soccer Group G action Saturday, New Zealand and USA play in a 7:30 a.m. ET kickoff at Saitama Stadium. Below, we preview the New Zealand vs. USA odds and lines, and make our best Summer Olympics bets, picks and predictions.

New Zealand lost its opening match to Australia 2-1. It was its first match in 16 months due to COVID-19 restrictions, as the Ferns were unable to travel to play, and players abroad were unable to return home. At No. 22 in the FIFA world rankings, the Kiwis were a bit rusty, but still competitive.

Speaking of rust, Team USA was pounded 3-0 by Sweden Wednesday, snapping a 44-match unbeaten streak. It wasn't a great Olympic debut for team manager Vladko Andonovski.

New Zealand vs. USA: Odds, picks and predictions

Odds via BetMGM ; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: New Zealand +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000) | USA -3500 (bet $3,500 to win $100) | Draw +1100
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -130 | U: -105)

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Prediction

USA 4, New Zealand 1

Money line (ML)

USA (-3500) isn't going to fall in a second consecutive match, especially against a rusty New Zealand (+2000) side. However, you cannot risk $100 for every $2.86 won, as that's just a foolish long-term strategy.

AVOID, and look to the alternate line instead. USA -2 (-175) is a much better value for a win by 2 or more goals.

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Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 3.5 (-130) is a strong value, as Team USA is going to be angry after its opening loss, and will look to press. Even OVER 4.5 (+160) is worth a small-unit play.

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