Michigan at Purdue odds, picks and prediction

The Michigan Wolverines (12-1 overall, 7-1 Big Ten) visit the Purdue Boilermakers (11-5, 6-3) Friday for a 7 p.m. ET tip. Below, we analyze the Michigan-Purdue college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Michigan leads the Big Ten by 1 game and is No. 7 in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Michigan at Purdue: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:43 a.m. ET.

• Money line : Michigan -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Purdue +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
• Against the spread/ATS : Michigan -4.5 (-105) | Purdue +4.5 (-115)
• Over/Under : 139.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Michigan at Purdue: Three things to know

1. Michigan rebounded from its first loss of the season (75-57 at Minnesota Saturday) with an 87-63 win over Maryland Tuesday as an 11-point home favorite. The Wolverines opened with a 17-3 run, hit their first five 3-pointers and led 42-25 at the break to leave the Terps in the dust. Senior F Isaiah Livers was 4-for-5 behind the 3-point line and scored a game-high 20 points. Freshman C Hunter Dickinson leads the Wolverines in scoring (15.7 PPG), rebounds (7.5 RPG) and blocks (1.5 BPG).
2. Purdue enters on a 4-game win streak, most recently upsetting No. 18 Ohio State 67-65 Tuesday as a 5.5-point road underdog. G Jaden Ivey's tiebreaking 3-pointer with 5 seconds left was the game-winner. The freshman finished with 15 points, eight of them in the final 3:11 when the Boilermakers overcame a 6-point deficit. Junior F Trevion Williams leads Purdue with 15.4 PPG and 9.5 RPG.
3. Michigan owns a 4-game win streak vs. Purdue, including a two-game sweep last season. The Wolverines won 71-63 as a 4-point road underdogs Feb. 22, 2020, and needed overtime to claim an 84-78 victory as 6-point home favorites Jan. 9, 2020. Purdue's Williams scored 36 points in the OT loss.

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Michigan at Purdue: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Michigan 69, Purdue 64

Money line (ML)

I'd back Purdue (+155) if Mackey Arena would be filled to the brim with fans, but that's not the case during this unique "COVID-19" season.

The Boilers are 6-0 at home this season, including 3-0 in conference play, but the Wolverines (-190) are the much better team. PASS and focus on the spread.

Against the spread (ATS)

MICHIGAN -4.5 ( -105) is the STRONGEST PLAY - 1½ times your usual wager. The Wolverines are 7-0-1 ATS in the last eight games of this series. Look for that trend to continue.

Second, the Wolverines lead the Big Ten in field-goal percentage (51.4%) and defensive FG percentage (37.9%) in all games, while they're outrebounding opponents a league-best 8.0 RPG in Big Ten action.

ATS: Michigan 10-3 | Purdue 7-7-2

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 139.5 ( -110) is the way to go. Both defenses rank in the top 3 of the conference. Michigan ranks second at 66.3 PPG allowed, just ahead of Purdue, which yields 66.7 PPG - Wisconsin is first at 61.4 PPG. When it comes to Big Ten play, the Wolverines surrender 64.4 PPG and the Boilermakers hold opponents to 67.4 PPG.

O/U records: Michigan 7-6 | Purdue 9-7

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